Stock Market Business Cycle Trends
The Next 20 Years.
The 9-year cycle is up from 2009 and should remain until 2016-2018 when a recession and related stock market bear market will occur.
The 3-year cycle is trending higher into early 2016. The cycle trend is in effect for several foreign indices as are the major U.S. indices.
From the 1950s through 1970s inflation rose alongside economic growth, interest rates rose, commodities rallied, real estate values were in a bull market.
The economy in terms of nominal GDP per capita rose nearly twice the pace that occurred during 1980s to 2000s, while the stock market rallied at an aggressive pace. Super cycles forecast a similar pattern of the 1950s through 1970s to occur from 2010s into the 2030s. However, U.S. inflation and interest rates are unlikely to achieve levels seen around 1980.