Disclosure Statement

BC3 Busines Cycle 3 -- Tracks the 3yr business cycle in terms of price. Based upon analysis. Not an algorithm. An opinion from CSA models. Does not follow longer terms cycles. Trends may last from a few months to two years.

DOW BC3-- Based upon the Dow Industrials stock index --DOW. Usage- May be used as portfolio risk management strategy when BC3 Dow is bearish. Used as absolute return investment strategy.

BC1--Algorithm that was designed from CSA model and relates to the model Level 1 intermediate trend that is intra year and intra 3yr business cycle. Goal is follow 2 to 3 trends per year. This performance may alter due to change of long term volatility. Trend following in that it does not attempt to pick a top or bottom. Based on the daily closing price of the Dow stock index.  Usage- Absolute return investment strategy.  Also as a forecast of increased risk for the investor. Example- Hedge with use of put options or bear funds. Tested from 1998 to 4/2007. Contact us for more details. We tested the 1987 crash and found the algorithm exited ahead of the crash. Exhibited superior performance during 2000 to 2002 bear market. Exited ahead of the worst of the 1998 Asian Crisis. Seems to offer risk management as well as absolute investment performance. Algorithm was out of the market 25% of the months from 1998-2007 while posting a slightly better return than a buy and hold. This means it was out of the market during the worst of time. Reduced risk.

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